Copa do Brasil Final
Global 1-2
Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 0
SCI
58%
24%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
COT
2 - 3
FLA
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
LIG
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |