Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Flamengo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 0
FLA
23%
23%
55%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATP
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLA
22%
23%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
3 - 2
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 2
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |