Flamengo vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
5 - 0
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
IND
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
RIO
18%
20%
63%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 3
MAR
65%
18%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
TAB
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |