Flamengo vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUD
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
AVA
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
COR
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
VOL
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
POR
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |