Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-0
Flamengo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
SCI
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
FLA
26%
28%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 3
FLA
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 0
FLA
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
AMF
75%
18%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
PPE
32%
30%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
FLA
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
LON
54%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
PPE
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |