Flamengo vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 3
FFL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLA
37%
24%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
FLA
2 - 0
VIT
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PAY
4 - 2
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAY
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
PAY
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 3
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |