Flamengo vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
GUA
5 - 3
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 2
PAY
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
0 - 0
SCI
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
PAY
4 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |