Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Flamengo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRI
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
FOR
46%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
CUI
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
53%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
ATL
47%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |