Flamengo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
37%
25%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
FFL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
PAL
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |