Flamengo vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.6%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
21%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
10.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
EME
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
1 - 0
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BEB
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |