Flamengo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 5
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
AME
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLA
9%
20%
71%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
3 - 0
OLA
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
OLA
2 - 0
BAN
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 5
OLA
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
OLA
2 - 2
VOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |