Flamengo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
COT
3 - 2
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLA
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
FLA
2 - 1
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
ABC
1 - 3
FLA
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 3
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |