Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 9-2
Flamengo vs Minervén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
1.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAY
76%
15%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1993 |
PAY
3 - 2
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 1
NAC
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
4 - 0
ARN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 1
SCI
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Minervén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
1 - 0
CFC
16%
23%
61%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
2 - 2
UNI
27%
29%
44%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
MIN
0 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
54%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 0
MIN
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |