Flamengo vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
FLA
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
REM
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 1
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAT
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAU
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
SVA
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |