Flamengo vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 3
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
5 - 0
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
4 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
63%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 3
MAR
65%
18%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |