Flamengo vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
ITA
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
FLA
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 2
MAD
38%
25%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
MAD
3 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
FLU
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |