Flamengo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.5%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
21%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
2.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BOA
87%
11%
2%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
COT
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLA
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOT
34%
29%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 2
YPI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |