Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Flamengo vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
MIN
0 - 1
FLA
5%
16%
80%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
8 - 2
MIN
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAY
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1993 |
SCI
0 - 1
LON
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
LON
1 - 1
SCI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
LON
2 - 0
OPE
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
OPE
1 - 3
LON
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
PIN
1 - 2
LON
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |