Flamengo vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 0
BEB
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 3
FLA
14%
20%
67%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
JUV
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 0
OSV
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
JUV
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |