Flamengo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 0
FLA
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
5 - 1
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 0
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
JUV
12%
17%
71%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 2
JUV
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |