Flamengo vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1981 |
FLA
3 - 0
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
JWI
1 - 2
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1981 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOC
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1981 |
JWI
1 - 1
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1981 |
CAL
1 - 0
JWI
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
JWI
1 - 2
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
JWI
4 - 1
STR
39%
23%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
STR
2 - 0
JWI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |