Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 6-0
Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 3
FLA
38%
24%
38%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 4
FLA
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 4
FLA
29%
24%
48%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 1
FLA
16%
21%
64%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
5 - 1
OLI
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 4
FLA
29%
24%
48%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CUI
0 - 1
GRE
22%
25%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |