Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 3
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUN
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
COR
4 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1984 |
FLA
4 - 2
AME
86%
10%
5%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 2
GRE
2%
17%
82%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
VAS
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
GRE
3 - 1
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |