Flamengo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
5 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
FLA
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ATP
2 - 0
FLA
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1983 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATP
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1983 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 0
BLO
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |