Flamengo vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
INT
2 - 0
FLA
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 40 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
0 - 3
FLA
6%
15%
79%
|
82 | 34 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 2
OLA
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TAB
1 - 0
GRE
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
VEL
33%
24%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
INT
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |