Flamengo vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
UCH
1 - 2
FLA
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLA
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 3
UCH
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRÊ
4 - 0
ATM
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AVA
6 - 1
GRÊ
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GRÊ
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 3
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |