Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 3-0
Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
REM
0 - 2
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 4
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |