Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
1 - 1
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLA
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |