Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 2
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 1
COT
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
GOI
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 3
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |