Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 2
FLA
8%
20%
72%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 0
VOL
79%
16%
6%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
LIG
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLA
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
0 - 3
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
CAB
79%
16%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
FLU
3 - 0
YPI
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | +1 |