Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
CEA
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
COT
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 4
FLU
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
FLU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |