Copa Libertadores Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-2
Flamengo vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 2
BOT
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATP
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
FLA
6 - 1
GOI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TEC
2 - 2
EME
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 4
EME
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
AME
0 - 2
EME
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |