Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Flamengo vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
BAH
47%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |