Flamengo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
DUQ
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
BOA
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
DUQ
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
DUQ
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |