Flamengo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
BAH
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |