Flamengo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
COT
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
FLA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
6 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CRZ
4 - 0
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 3
FLU
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 1
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |