Flamengo vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 2
FLA
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 1
SCI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLU
39%
24%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |