Flamengo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAH
46%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
JUV
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |