Flamengo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
NAU
69%
21%
10%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
COR
1 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
BOC
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |