Flamengo vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
SCI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
ARN
75%
16%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
SCI
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |