Flamengo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLA
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 0
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLA
38%
30%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 0
OLI
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
0 - 0
CCP
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
COL
2 - 1
CCP
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
CCP
5 - 3
COL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |