Flamengo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 4
VAS
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 0
EST
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 2
RIV
15%
22%
64%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
COL
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |