Flamengo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
FLA
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 0
MAD
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
FLA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
GOD
54%
23%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 0
OLI
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 0
RIV
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |