Flamengo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLA
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
FLA
2 - 1
COT
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
SAO
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2000 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
EST
1 - 1
RIV
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |