Flamengo vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
0 - 1
FLA
7%
14%
78%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
LAN
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
LAN
6 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 2
LAN
57%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
EME
0 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |