Flamengo vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
3 - 0
VAS
55%
27%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
58%
26%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
1 - 1
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
BVS
2 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |