Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
EME
1 - 2
FLA
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLA
11%
22%
67%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 3
FLA
11%
22%
66%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOT
12%
23%
66%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |