Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 0
FLA
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SCI
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 2
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOT
21%
26%
54%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |