Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
FFL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |