Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 3
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FLA
4 - 0
AVA
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
52%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |